Gulf development more likely

TROPICAL UPDATE Watching an area of possible development in the Gulf this week

Chances of tropical development

There's a pretty good chance we could see Tropical or Subtropical Storm Nestor on Thursday.

Forecasters said that tropical-storm-force conditions are expected to reach coastal areas by late Friday, "making outside preparations hard or risky". The National Hurricane Center has scheduled a Hurricane Hunter aircraft to investigate the system Thursday afternoon.

All eyes are on the Gulf of Mexico as another tropical storm will likely form.

Some computer models have it moving into the Florida Panhandle Saturday morning and then across Georgia and the Carolinas. It was moving to the northward at 7 miles per hour (12 kmh) with a northeastern turn expected.

Impacts in southeast Louisiana right now look to be mostly along the coast.




Seas and surf will build over much of the Gulf of Mexico into the weekend with the most significant increase in waves and frequency and strength of rip currents throughout the Florida Gulf coast.

Otherwise this system moves east quickly Friday night and Saturday is looking mainly dry. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 6 inches is most likely along the upper Gulf coast of Florida and perhaps along the North Carolina coast. If it becomes a tropical storm, it would be named Nestor.

As we get closer to the end of hurricane season, we focus our attention to the western Gulf for possible development later this week. This is a very favourable environment for tropical systems to develop before the later part of the season when temperatures eventually cool.

Download the free AccuWeather app to see the latest forecast and advisories for your region.

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